Predictions about the future are probably wrong

Good reminder by Will Hitchen on The Strategy Bridge:

“History remains the best guide to predicting the future — but such predictions are still more likely than not to be wrong. Those who postulate and prognosticate on the future of warfare, and those consuming their output, would be well served by keeping this in mind. Such is the nature of predicting the future writ large, and this applies in the realm of warfare.”

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