The many incidents with the Russian military over the last few weeks are not a coincidence. It looks like a prelude to intervention in Belarus.
I have contributed to FOI’s new report with a look at Russian A2/AD from an operational perspective. My argument is that it probably wouldn’t work.
Russia’s new universal landing ships are much more than amphibious assault carriers. They are a multi-tool of giant warships, designed for many different types of operations.
Kaliningrad is a military stronghold in the Baltic Sea. It is also an interesting case of Russia’s joint approach to defense under the leadership of the Baltic Fleet. Here is a quick overview.
A maritime exercise between Iran, China, and Russia has received much attention. It is a very small exercise where China and Russia sent one warship each, so it is mostly a symbolic gesture. But the World response has demonstrated the power of naval diplomacy.
Defense analyst Ilya Kramnik has been fired from Izvestia for publishing a critical analysis of an interview with defense minister Sergey Shoigu. Kramnik particularly addressed Shoigu’s inclination to taking credit for other people’s achievements and the propagandized nature of the Defense Ministry’s PR-practices under Shoigu.
It is time to let go of the idea of impenetrable A2/AD bubbles. Russia does not have the technical capabilities to do it, and politically it is hard to see why they would even want to. We need to start thinking about Russia’s missiles as a layered defense system instead. That is the point of this conference paper.
Almost 130,000 soldiers will take part in Russia’s upcoming exercise Tsentr 2019. It takes place in the central region of Russia and will include a huge expeditionary exercise in the Arctic.
There finally is a reliable list of participating ships for Russia’s Naval Day parade in Saint Petersburg. It is a very similar collection of ships as last year. The biggest surprise is the participation of the frigate Admiral Gorshkov which is returning from a trip around the world.
Russia may face a few years without any battlecruisers. The shipyard has announced that the maintenance and upgrade program of Admiral Nakhimov will take a few years longer than expected. This means that Admiral Nakhimov will not be ready to take over by the time a similar upgrade begins on Pyotr Velikiy in 2020.