David Betz has written an article in Military Strategy Magazine titled In Search of a Point: The Blob at War on the importance of Clausewitz […]
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Armenia’s over-confidence and the catastrophic defeat in the Second Nagorno-Karabakh War
Great article by Michael A. Reynolds for War on the Rocks about Armenia’s painful defeat in the recent war with Azerbaijan: This second conflict came as no surprise. With peace talks stalled, Azerbaijan had, for over a decade, been threatening war and ostentatiously arming for one. Nor was the war’s outcome any surprise. The bigger […]

Operational countermeasures against Russian A2/AD – My contribution to new FOI report
I have contributed to FOI’s new report with a look at Russian A2/AD from an operational perspective. My argument is that it probably wouldn’t work.
Russia signs contract for new versatile helicopter carriers
Russia’s new universal landing ships are much more than amphibious assault carriers. They are a multi-tool of giant warships, designed for many different types of operations.

A look at the Baltic Fleet and the defense of Kaliningrad
Kaliningrad is a military stronghold in the Baltic Sea. It is also an interesting case of Russia’s joint approach to defense under the leadership of the Baltic Fleet. Here is a quick overview.
Joint Iran-China-Russia exercise is impressive display of naval diplomacy
A maritime exercise between Iran, China, and Russia has received much attention. It is a very small exercise where China and Russia sent one warship each, so it is mostly a symbolic gesture. But the World response has demonstrated the power of naval diplomacy.

Sergey Shoigu has famous pro-Kremlin journalist fired over critical article
Defense analyst Ilya Kramnik has been fired from Izvestia for publishing a critical analysis of an interview with defense minister Sergey Shoigu. Kramnik particularly addressed Shoigu’s inclination to taking credit for other people’s achievements and the propagandized nature of the Defense Ministry’s PR-practices under Shoigu.

Russia’s A2/AD strategy is a myth
It is time to let go of the idea of impenetrable A2/AD bubbles. Russia does not have the technical capabilities to do it, and politically it is hard to see why they would even want to. We need to start thinking about Russia’s missiles as a layered defense system instead. That is the point of this conference paper.

Russia prepares massive exercise Tsentr 2019 with large Arctic component
Almost 130,000 soldiers will take part in Russia’s upcoming exercise Tsentr 2019. It takes place in the central region of Russia and will include a huge expeditionary exercise in the Arctic.

Which ships will be at Naval Day parade in Saint Petersburg on 28 July 2019?
There finally is a reliable list of participating ships for Russia’s Naval Day parade in Saint Petersburg. It is a very similar collection of ships as last year. The biggest surprise is the participation of the frigate Admiral Gorshkov which is returning from a trip around the world.

Russian battlecruiser Admiral Nakhimov delayed from maintenance until 2023
Russia may face a few years without any battlecruisers. The shipyard has announced that the maintenance and upgrade program of Admiral Nakhimov will take a few years longer than expected. This means that Admiral Nakhimov will not be ready to take over by the time a similar upgrade begins on Pyotr Velikiy in 2020.

Militarization in the Baltic and the Arctic compared: The Arctic is the dangerous place
The Arctic will not be a peaceful exception in a militarized world. In this post I compare the security situation in the Baltic and the Arctic. Both regions are militarized these days, but in very different ways. The most dangerous dynamics are in the Arctic, and it will get worse in the coming years.