The many incidents with the Russian military over the last few weeks are not a coincidence. It looks like a prelude to intervention in Belarus.
USA
Militarization in the Baltic and the Arctic compared: The Arctic is the dangerous place
The Arctic will not be a peaceful exception in a militarized world. In this post I compare the security situation in the Baltic and the Arctic. Both regions are militarized these days, but in very different ways. The most dangerous dynamics are in the Arctic, and it will get worse in the coming years.
US European forces chief wants more presence, Trump pushes for allies to pay
US general pushes for more warships in Europe to maintain American dominance. Trump wants allies to pay a premium for hosting US forces. The incompatibility between these two views is striking.
Debate over USS Fitzgerald collision still misses point about broken US Navy procedures
The debate about the USS Fitzgerald accident is still off track. The interesting discussion is what to do about the fact that the US Navy has deficient navigation procedures.
Russian speaking U.S. soldiers on exercise in Estonia is brilliant information work
A television performance by two U.S. soldiers has achieved remarkable strategic effect. In fluent Russian they explain what the American soldiers are doing during an exercise in Estonia. It sends the right message to both the Russian minorities in the Baltic countries and to Russia as a potential enemy.
Sanctions are a tool of reward, not of punishment
It is doubtful that Western sanctions have had any effect on Russia’s behavior but that doesn’t mean that the sanctions don’t work. They will be good bargaining chips some day when things are less emotional.
U.S. Navy wants more submarines but cannot maintain the number they have
The U.S. Navy wants to increase the number of attack submarines from 56 to 66. But a new government report documents that their shipyards cannot maintain even the ones they have already.
Infrastructure projects must be smarter about cybersecurity
Could the Washington Metro be hijacked by ransomware? Andrew Grotto has some suggestions about how to get cybersecurity back on track in infrastructure projects.
Why does Russia break the INF Treaty?
Before the INF Treaty collapses, it is worth pondering why Russia is building a missile that breaks it. I argue that it is because they want a conventional missile akin to Tomahawk. It is silly if we turn this into a nuclear race.
U.S. Navy plans to develop two new classes of submarine
The U.S. Navy plans to develop a new cruise missile submarine and a new attack submarine. It is an expensive solution that comes just days after president Trump’s announcement of defense cuts.